Quotes from the news wire:
When you have a straw poll, it forces you to turn out people to an event. They make a bigger commitment of giving up their day in the summer to go vote for you at an event. Even though it doesn't matter, it's not binding, it forces you to organize early, it would have forced everyone to organize because the risk of not organizing is that you might get ejected from the race. Not having a straw poll hurt.
While someone like Ted Cruz appeals to the activist. Someone who goes to the caucus on a regular basis, Trump appeals to someone who caucus is a complete foreign word to them, it's a heavier lift for the Trump campaign to get their people out. The advantage Trump has is he hasthe highest ceiling of all the candidates. He has broad appeal. That's great.
Trump's field staff makes a difference. They are from the communities that they are responsible for organizing. They lean on their own personal networks to get people to attend and motivate other supporters to do the same. It's really peer-to-peer turnout, and they are probably the best campaign at doing that.
They have been in existence for quite a while, long before Carson even started showing up in the state. That longevity gives them an advantage, because for a long time, it was people's only way to contact anyone in the Carson orbit, so people are used to dealing with them, i think the big problem is that campaign is going to be in the dark about what the PAC is doing. For example, does the PAC have someone lined up to speak at my caucus or does the campaign? What if there are two people who think they are going to do it, or worse, nobody? Caucus campaigns require a lot of attention to detail, so extra hands in the kitchen on caucus night could make things messy in a hurry.
In the minds of voters, Walker is supposed to be this conservative reformer who will stand firm on difficult issues. That didn't come across in the debate at all, and Bush is supposed to be the clear front-runner and commanding figure in a huge field of candidates. He was overshadowed by everyone he shared the stage with, and there is not one memorable moment from him in the entire debate.
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