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If there was one lesson I wish other countries would take from watching the UK's attempt to reopen is that vaccines are not the whole solution to the problem, yes, they make a huge difference, but if Kit Yates want to keep on top of this disease then Kit Yates need to back vaccines up with other tried and tested public health measures : Mask mandates in indoor public spaces, ventilation in schools and work places, a functioning, locally-driven test, trace and isolate system in combination with support for isolation.
The UK is averaging around 90 deaths a day from Covid. Our reopening has been far from an unqualified success.
In January, before the vaccination program really got into full swing we were maybe seeing upwards of 10 % of cases going on to be hospitalized. Now that figure is down to between 2 % and 3 %, so vaccines are making a huge difference.
We will see lots of students meeting up indoors in schools at which few or no mitigations have been put in place... we should expect to see further rises in transmission when this happens, which will inevitably lead to more cases, more hospitalizations and tragically more deaths.
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