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Children are the' distribution franchise' for the influenza virus. They're on top of each other and they are not the most hygienic little lovelies, so they spread the flu virus amongst themselves, when kids get infected, they shed the virus for a longer period of time than adults do, so they're really the people who bring the virus into the family and spread it about to the neighbors and, well, everybody.
This is largely a problem when it comes to severe disease, the disease that requires hospitalization, it's among the unvaccinated. It really is pretty unusual to have a vaccinated person be hospitalized. Most of those people tend to be older and very, very frail. They never were able to respond to the vaccine, and we have the occasional immunocompromised person whose immune system also couldn't respond optimally to the vaccine, so the unvaccinated continue to be the big highway of transmission. The vaccinated, they're little side streets. Let's not get preoccupied with that. We need to get more people vaccinated.
If these events occur more frequently in the vaccinated population than the unvaccinated population, then there's reason to think it might be because the vaccine may have caused it. But if the incidents occurred similarly in the vaccinated and the unvaccinated population, then it is overwhelmingly likely they were just coincidental and would have occurred anyways.
They wear masks. They do social distancing. They are meticulous, the other day, they came over to our pool and they stayed on one end of the pool and we stayed on the other. They never went inside the house. My wife said to me,' Well, they're not going to be helpful in the trials, that's for sure.'.
Some of us in the scientific community here in the US have been a little surprised at the sprightly competitiveness of some of the comments from our colleagues at Oxford. We don't usually see that in public pronouncements, we've been grumpy with our national political leaders about providing inaccurate information, and we should hold scientific leaders to those same standards.
It's not a tickle in your throat. You're not just clearing your throat. It's not just irritated. You're not putting anything out, you're not coughing anything up, the cough is bothersome, it's coming from your breastbone or sternum. and you can tell that your bronchial tubes are inflamed or irritated.
Its a new virus, and it may not have read the textbooks. Thats why the current, ongoing research to develop vaccines and antiviral drugs that are effective against coronaviruses is so important, he continued. The virus is new in humans -- meaning medical experts at this time can not predict the long-term impact on the global community.
Everyone with whom I've spoken, or whom I've read, thinks that it has come from a natural source, as did the SARS virus, as did the MERS virus. Both of those were also coronaviruses in animal populations that jumped to the human species in the natural environment, by now scientists all over the world have looked at this virus and nothing nefarious has come up.
Those are the kinds of things that can happen to people when you put on a little mileage over the years, both of the leading candidates are over 65 years of age. It wasn’t so long ago that once you reached your 65th birthday, that’s the time you retired — it wasn’t the time you took one of the most strenuous positions you could think of.
Our crystal balls are a little cloudy at this point this year, but the H3N2 virus should be the dominant strain this year, while it tends to produce more influenza symptoms, and that's the bad news, the good news is now the vaccine has been modified and it does include H3N2 strain, so it ought to be more on target with the dominant strain of the virus this year.
If you had asked me this question five or six years ago, I would have said that the risk was virtually nonexistent, over the past several years, with more and more children being withheld from vaccinations and more and more introduction of measles, I would have said it’s still very low. But today, in the context of the Disneyland outbreak, with it having spread to so many states, I would still acknowledge that the risk is low but it’s much larger than it was, and I would be nervous about that.
An unvaccinated child will be exposed to risk everywhere, but more so in certain circumstances than in others, for example, more so in Colorado than in Mississippi. But I don’t think you’re going to get a recommendation with a capital R from the CDC or the CDC’s Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices.
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