By looking at individual years in that forecast we can now see for the first time, there is a risk of a temporary, and I repeat temporary, exceedance of the all-important 1.5C threshold level set out in the Paris climate agreement.

Adam Scaife

Adam A. Scaife is a British physicist, and head of long range prediction at the Met Office. He is also a Professor at Exeter University. Scaife carries out research into long range weather forecasting and computer modelling of the climate and has published around 200 peer reviewed studies on atmospheric dynamics, computer modelling and climate as well as popular science and academic books on meteorology.

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